Great Leap Foward (again)
by
Chris WarrenIndeed, the list of challenges is long and daunting. How, for
instance, will China, whose demand for energy to fuel its growth is
massive, get what it needs? How will the country provide pensions
and health care to a rapidly aging population now that the
Communist-era social safety net is gone? Problems of disparity -
common in market economies -have also surfaced. "The disparity of
income has become very rapidly much more unequal," says Lampton. In
fact, according to Lampton, the per capita GDP of people in rural
areas is $320, while in cities it's over $1,000. There also remains
plenty of poverty in rural and urban areas.
The mass of people flocking to the cities, particularly those on
the east coast, where investment and development are greatest, is
straining urban areas' abilities to cope. "There are just too many
people, and there isn't enough housing, roads, or infrastructure,"
says Dunn. "It's getting very crowded."
Environmental degradation is an increasing concern as well. "The
environment in China is under stress on every front. It's not
simply a matter of air or water or land - it's everything," says
Elizabeth Economy, Director for Asia Studies at the Council on
Foreign Relations in New York and author of The River Runs
Black: The Environmental Challenges to China's Future. By
various estimates, China has 16 of the 20 most polluted cities in
the world. According to Economy, the Chinese government believes
that 400,000 people die each year prematurely as a result of
respiratory diseases related to air pollution. Five of China's
seven major river systems are considered highly polluted, and the
government estimates that 300 million people drink polluted water
each day.
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