Any comparisons with
Chad are ancient economic history.
"There's so much concern about the negatives, people often lose
sight of the fact that it is one of the most dynamic, rapidly
growing markets in the world," says Kristin Forbes, associate
professor at
MIT's Sloan
School of Management, who recently
completed a two-year stint on the Council of Economic Advisers.
But in a country that has some 5,000 years of collective history,
including more than 50 years of Communist rule, the American
retailers who are lured onto
China's welcome mat aren't facing any
kind of slam dunk.
Wal-Mart, for example, had to figure out how to pay local
taxes.
"Figuring out what they had to pay in taxes was actually a big
hurdle," says Forbes (who's no relation to the famous publishing
dynasty). "It took local governments some time to figure out what
it should pay."
"This market is very different and needs thorough market research
among consumers," observes Hand, of Jones Lang LaSalle. "A U.S.
retailer might be very successful in both markets, but for very
different reasons, such as different consumer groups, expenditure
patterns, age groups. Fashion is an interesting example. Many
Chinese developers try to lure famous U.S. department stores, often
by offering very sweet deals, to China. However, very little
thought is given to the different shopping preferences, clothing
styles, body shapes, between these two countries. A success in the
United States will not automatically be a success in China without
appropriate merchandise adjustment or positioning."
Local retailers are scrambling, too.
"A classic thrust-and-parry scenario is already emerging and is
likely to remain in place for the next three to five years," adds
Hand. "International retailers are thrusting into this hugely
promising market, whereas domestic retailers are frantically
consolidating in an effort to parry a defense. There is a race for
space under way among many categories - big-box retailers,
high-street banks, petrol filling stations, etc."