Great Leap Foward (again)
by Chris WarrenChina is shaking off the rust from the
old Iron Curtain days and moving foward with the world's most
ambitious Industrial Revolution-ever.
In the 1970's Merrill Weingrod spent a lot of time in Taiwan.
Then the owner of a Massachusetts-based leather-goods company,
Weingrod could see that a lot of manufacturing in his industry was
moving to lower-cost Asia; to stay competitive, he would trek to
Taiwan to forge alliances and visit partner factories. Each time he
visited Taipei, the capital, he was struck by the frenzied pace.
"You'd get up at five in the morning and go out in the street, and
it would be completely full of people running around," says
Weingrod, who is now CEO at China Strategies, a consultancy with
offices in Providence, Rhode Island, and Shanghai that advises
companies looking to do business in China. "It was the most
hyperkinetic, frantic, entrepreneurial-driven place you could
imagine." When he would socialize with his Taiwanese counterparts,
the same question kept popping up. "If it's this insane in Taiwan
with 20 million people, what is going to happen when China opens
up?" says Weingrod. "The Taiwanese would just look at you and
smile."
Obviously, Weingrod's colleagues in
Taiwan - which China still
claims as one of its provinces, despite the fact that it has
operated autonomously since 1949 - knew something about the
economic potential of its mammoth Communist neighbor. But they
probably never could have guessed that China would become the
economic behemoth it is today. Indeed, since launching major
economic reforms in 1978, this country of 1.3 billion people has
undergone a dramatic revolution, moving from a centrally planned,
largely agrarian economy to one that is largely capitalist,
industrialized, and increasingly sophisticated.
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